GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 2/28/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Beograd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Beograd are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Beograd hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the South Australia NPL, while FK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Beograd

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

10.9%

FK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK BeogradWWLWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sturt LionsLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK BeogradSturt Lions
53.0Attack53.0
54.5Defence45.5
50.0Form40.9
52.8Power46.5
1.95xG1.33
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