GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/9/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kairat Almaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

FK Aksu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kairat Almaty are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kairat Almaty hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Premier League, while Kairat Almaty holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kairat Almaty

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Kairat Almaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK AksuLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kairat AlmatyD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
FK AksuKairat Almaty
30.7Attack66.7
44.0Defence76.2
24.0Form76.2
35.4Power73.4
0.44xG2.29
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