Fjolnirvs
Thróttur Vogar
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fjolnir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fjolnir 1-1 Thróttur Vogar
Original prediction
Fjolnir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.2% | 60.6% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.2% | 16.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.6% | 22.7% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Fjolnir
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Fjolnir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FjolnirDLLLW
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Thróttur VogarLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FjolnirThróttur Vogar
76.7Attack50.0
26.7Defence33.3
43.3Form31.7
49.2Power39.8
3.50xG2.02