Fjardabyggd / Leiknirvs
Dalvík / Reynir
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir 2-3 Dalvík / Reynir
Original prediction
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.4% | 60.0% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.2% | 17.2% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.4% | 22.7% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80