Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Fittja are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Smedby are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Smedby hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80