Fittjavs
Örebro Syrianska
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fittja · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fittja 0-1 Örebro Syrianska
Original prediction
Fittja
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.7% | 52.4% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.1% | 23.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.2% | 24.6% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Fittja
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Fittja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00