Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fittja 1-2 Forward
Original prediction
Forward
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.7% | 30.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 21.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.5% | 47.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Forward
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FittjaDLWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ForwardLLLWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FittjaForward
55.0Attack63.3
46.7Defence58.3
50.0Form60.0
52.2Power60.7
1.48xG1.95