GGOALVIO

Austria · 2. Liga · 8/6/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

First Vienna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sturm Graz II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and First Vienna hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the 2. Liga, while First Vienna holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

First Vienna

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

First ViennaLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm Graz IILLDLD

GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
First ViennaSturm Graz II
83.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
52.2Power40.7
2.11xG1.53
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