First Viennavs
Sturm Graz II
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 8/6/2023, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
First Vienna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sturm Graz II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and First Vienna hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the 2. Liga, while First Vienna holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
First Vienna
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60