First Viennavs
SKU Amstetten
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
First Vienna 1-0 SKU Amstetten
Original prediction
First Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.1% | 42.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.4% | 25.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.6% | 32.2% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
First Vienna
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20