First Viennavs
SKN ST. Polten
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
First Vienna · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: First Vienna 1-0 SKN ST. Polten, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
First Vienna 3-1 SKN ST. Polten
Original prediction
First Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.8% | 51.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.5% | 26.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.6% | 22.2% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
First Vienna 1–0 SKN ST. Polten
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
First Vienna
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20