First Viennavs
Rapid Vienna
COMPLETEDAustria · Cup · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rapid Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
First Vienna 0-3 Rapid Vienna
Original prediction
Rapid Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.11 | 14.8% | 34.0% | 19.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.47 | 20.3% | 24.5% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.9% | 41.5% | -23.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Rapid Vienna
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Rapid Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40