First Viennavs
Floridsdorfer AC
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
First Vienna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
First Vienna 2-0 Floridsdorfer AC
Original prediction
First Vienna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.0% | 61.7% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.3% | 20.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.7% | 17.6% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
First Vienna
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
First Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20