Firpovs
Isidro Metapán
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 1-2 Isidro Metapán
Original prediction
Firpo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.7% | 45.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.2% | 27.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.1% | 26.4% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20