Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Firpo 0-0 Inter, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 3-0 Inter
Original prediction
Firpo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.7% | 36.9% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.2% | 29.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.1% | 33.6% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Projected Score
Firpo 0–0 Inter
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FirpoLDWWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
InterWWWWD
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FirpoInter
50.0Attack57.1
77.8Defence85.7
61.1Form71.4
62.7Power71.7
0.95xG1.01