Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diriangén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 4-0 Diriangén
Original prediction
Diriangén
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Diriangén
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
12.0%
Diriangén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FirpoWLWDL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DiriangénWLDWW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FirpoDiriangén
33.3Attack83.3
33.3Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power51.0
1.48xG1.62