Firpovs
Deportivo Saprissa
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Saprissa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa
Original prediction
Deportivo Saprissa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.20 | 28.2% | 30.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.1% | 26.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.6% | 43.7% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Deportivo Saprissa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00