Firpovs
Cacahuatique
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 0-0 Cacahuatique
Original prediction
Firpo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.5% | 62.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 21.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 6.15 | 14.7% | 15.5% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FirpoWLDWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CacahuatiqueLDLDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FirpoCacahuatique
57.1Attack45.8
81.0Defence45.8
66.7Form29.2
67.4Power42.4
1.96xG0.73