Firpovs
Atletico Balboa
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Firpo 1-0 Atletico Balboa, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Firpo 3-1 Atletico Balboa
Original prediction
Firpo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.7% | 61.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.4% | 23.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 6.46 | 13.9% | 14.9% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Projected Score
Firpo 1–0 Atletico Balboa
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FirpoLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Atletico BalboaWLLLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FirpoAtletico Balboa
54.2Attack36.7
75.0Defence56.7
58.3Form40.0
61.8Power46.4
1.53xG0.56