GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/25/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus Verona hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaLWDWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus VeronaDWLDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
FiorenzuolaVirtus Verona
33.3Attack30.7
45.6Defence62.3
33.3Form41.2
39.9Power46.5
0.79xG0.93
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