GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/6/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Triestina are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TriestinaDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FiorenzuolaTriestina
33.3Attack53.5
45.6Defence61.4
33.3Form56.1
39.9Power58.1
0.78xG1.68
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