GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/23/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pro Patria hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FiorenzuolaPro Patria
33.3Attack32.5
45.6Defence55.3
33.3Form40.4
39.9Power45.1
0.94xG0.98
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