GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/8/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pergolettese

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PergoletteseLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FiorenzuolaPergolettese
33.3Attack38.6
45.6Defence56.1
33.3Form39.5
39.9Power45.8
0.92xG1.17
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