Fiorenzuolavs
Padova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/20/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Fiorenzuola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60