FiorenzuolavsNovara

Fiorenzuola are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Novara are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Novara hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Novara holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.