GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/11/2023, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mantova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FiorenzuolaMantova
33.3Attack63.2
45.6Defence72.8
33.3Form70.2
39.9Power68.8
0.53xG2.05
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