GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/27/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lumezzane · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lumezzane are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Lumezzane holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lumezzane

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Lumezzane has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LumezzaneWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FiorenzuolaLumezzane
33.3Attack43.0
45.6Defence57.9
33.3Form46.5
39.9Power50.8
0.87xG1.32
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