GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/13/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legnago Salus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legnago Salus hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Legnago Salus holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legnago Salus

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Legnago Salus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Legnago SalusLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FiorenzuolaLegnago Salus
33.3Attack40.4
45.6Defence65.8
33.3Form49.1
39.9Power53.5
0.70xG1.25
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