GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/26/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Giana Erminio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Giana Erminio holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Giana Erminio

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Giana Erminio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FiorenzuolaGiana Erminio
33.3Attack40.4
45.6Defence61.4
33.3Form46.5
39.9Power50.7
0.80xG1.24
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