GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/11/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atalanta II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Atalanta II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atalanta II

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Atalanta II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atalanta IIWDDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FiorenzuolaAtalanta II
33.3Attack37.7
45.6Defence68.4
33.3Form51.8
39.9Power54.4
0.65xG1.17
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