Fiorenzuolavs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/6/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fiorenzuola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alessandria are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorenzuola hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80