GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fiorenzuola are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorenzuolaLLLL

GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.50/3.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
AlbinoleffeLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FiorenzuolaAlbinoleffe
33.3Attack29.8
45.6Defence67.5
33.3Form39.5
39.9Power47.9
0.68xG0.91
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