Fiorentinovs
San Giovanni
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Coppa Titano · 9/27/2023, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fiorentino are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while San Giovanni are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentino hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Coppa Titano, while Fiorentino holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fiorentino
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Fiorentino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00