GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Coppa Titano · 12/6/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

La Fiorita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fiorentino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while La Fiorita are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and La Fiorita hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 88.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Coppa Titano, while La Fiorita holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

La Fiorita

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

57.9%

La Fiorita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FiorentinoLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
La FioritaWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FiorentinoLa Fiorita
66.7Attack83.3
33.3Defence77.8
50.0Form100.0
50.5Power88.5
1.02xG2.08
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