GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie A Cup Women · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fiorentina W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fiorentina W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Ternana W are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina W hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Serie A Cup Women, while Fiorentina W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fiorentina W

Probability

57.9%

Model confidence

10.6%

Fiorentina W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fiorentina WWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ternana WLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Fiorentina WTernana W
55.6Attack44.4
55.6Defence22.2
66.7Form11.1
61.0Power29.5
2.10xG1.13
View match centre →