GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie A Cup Women · 8/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fiorentina W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fiorentina W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Sassuolo W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and fiorentina W hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Serie A Cup Women, favouring Fiorentina W with 12.9% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fiorentina W

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

12.9%

Fiorentina W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fiorentina WWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sassuolo WLDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Fiorentina WSassuolo W
55.6Attack33.3
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form44.4
61.0Power45.9
1.64xG1.11
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