GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie A Cup Women · 9/14/2025, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fiorentina W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fiorentina W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Genoa W are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina W hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Serie A Cup Women, while Fiorentina W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fiorentina W

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Fiorentina W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fiorentina WLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Genoa WDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Fiorentina WGenoa W
55.6Attack33.3
55.6Defence44.4
66.7Form11.1
61.0Power32.9
1.84xG1.06
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