GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · 8/20/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Erkenschwick · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Finnentrop / Bamenohl are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Erkenschwick are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Erkenschwick hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Oberliga - Westfalen, while Erkenschwick holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Erkenschwick

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Erkenschwick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Finnentrop / BamenohlWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ErkenschwickLD

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Finnentrop / BamenohlErkenschwick
68.6Attack75.5
18.6Defence50.0
43.1Form62.7
44.5Power61.9
2.15xG3.63
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