GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/10/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wexford · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Finn Harps are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Wexford are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wexford hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the First Division, while Wexford holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wexford

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Wexford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Finn HarpsDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WexfordWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Finn HarpsWexford
25.9Attack39.5
34.6Defence51.9
27.2Form42.0
32.3Power46.4
0.79xG1.48
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