First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 14:56
Finn Harps

Finn Harps

Home
L
10
Full time
Wexford

Wexford

Away
L
Finn Park
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Wexford(44%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Finn Harps
Win probability
Finn Harps
29%
Draw
27%
Wexford
44%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Finn Harps
9
Wexford
34
Defence
Finn Harps
66
Wexford
27
Momentum
Finn Harps
0
Wexford
0
Danger (xG)
Finn Harps
0.00
Wexford
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Finn Harps)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Wexford)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Finn Harps)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Wexford)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
LLWDL
WexfordWexford
LDLDD

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Finn Harps29%
Draw27%
Wexford44%

Wexford leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Finn Harps head into this in First Division fixture at Finn Park in mixed form (L), while Wexford arrive in mixed form (L). Finn Harps have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Wexford over 1 games.

The model rates Finn Harps's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Wexford defence, and Wexford's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Finn Harps backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Finn Harps have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Wexford have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Finn Harps have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Wexford to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Finn Harps 2930%, Draw 2680%, Wexford 4380%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Finn Harps 1Draws 00 Wexford
Avg goals: 1.0
3 Jul 2026
Finn Harps
W10
Wexford

Recent form

Finn Harps

Finn Harps

L
vs Bray Wanderers
17 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Treaty United
10 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Wexford
3 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Athlone Town
26 Jun 2026
11
L
@ Treaty United
15 May 2026
03
Wexford

Wexford

L
@ St Patrick's Athl.
17 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Kerry
10 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Finn Harps
3 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Treaty United
26 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Athlone Town
19 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Finn Harps vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts Wexford to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Wexford?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Finn Harps vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Finn Harps vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more