Finn Harpsvs
UCD
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 6/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Finn Harps are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while UCD are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
71.6%
Model confidence
14.7%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00