Finn Harpsvs
Treaty United
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 3/13/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Treaty United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Finn Harps are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Treaty United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Treaty United hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the First Division, while Treaty United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Treaty United
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Treaty United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80