GGOALVIO

Ireland · FAI Cup · 8/18/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Finn Harps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Finn Harps are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Skerries Town are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Skerries Town hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the FAI Cup, while Finn Harps holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Finn Harps

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Finn Harps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Finn HarpsLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Skerries TownW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Finn HarpsSkerries Town
0.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power38.7
1.89xG1.65
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