Finn Harpsvs
Longford Town
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Finn Harps are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Longford Town
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
15.2%
Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20