GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 5/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Finn Harps are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Longford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

15.2%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Finn HarpsLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Longford TownLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Finn HarpsLongford Town
25.9Attack43.2
34.6Defence58.0
27.2Form45.7
32.3Power50.4
0.68xG1.63
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