Finn Harpsvs
Kerry
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Finn Harps are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kerry are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60