GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/3/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bray Wanderers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Finn Harps are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bray Wanderers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bray Wanderers hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.4% in the First Division, while Bray Wanderers holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bray Wanderers

Probability

73.4%

Model confidence

73.4%

Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Finn HarpsLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bray WanderersWWLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsBray Wanderers
25.9Attack66.7
34.6Defence54.3
27.2Form53.1
32.3Power57.2
0.73xG2.57
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