FAI CupFAI Cup
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 14:56
Finn Harps

Finn Harps

Home
L
01
Full time
Bray Wanderers

Bray Wanderers

Away
W
Finn Park
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Bray Wanderers(35%)
Most likely exact score0-2
Prediction correct— Result: Bray Wanderers
Win probability
Finn Harps
41%
Draw
24%
Bray Wanderers
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Finn Harps
9
Bray Wanderers
34
Defence
Finn Harps
66
Bray Wanderers
91
Momentum
Finn Harps
0
Bray Wanderers
100
Danger (xG)
Finn Harps
0.00
Bray Wanderers
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Finn Harps)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Bray Wanderers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Finn Harps)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Bray Wanderers)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
LLWDL
Bray WanderersBray Wanderers
WWWLW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Finn Harps41%
Draw24%
Bray Wanderers35%

Finn Harps leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Finn Harps head into this in FAI Cup fixture at Finn Park in mixed form (L), while Bray Wanderers arrive in mixed form (W). Finn Harps have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Bray Wanderers over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Finn Harps (66/100) and Bray Wanderers (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Finn Harps have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Bray Wanderers have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Bray Wanderers have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Bray Wanderers to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-2. Win probabilities: Finn Harps 4057%, Draw 2400%, Bray Wanderers 3543%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Finn Harps 0Draws 01 Bray Wanderers
Avg goals: 1.0
17 Jul 2026
Finn Harps
L01
Bray Wanderers

Recent form

Finn Harps

Finn Harps

L
vs Bray Wanderers
17 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Treaty United
10 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Wexford
3 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Athlone Town
26 Jun 2026
11
L
@ Treaty United
15 May 2026
03
Bray Wanderers

Bray Wanderers

W
@ Finn Harps
17 Jul 2026
10
W
vs UCD
10 Jul 2026
60
W
vs Athlone Town
3 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Cork City
26 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Longford Town
19 Jun 2026
52

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

GoalVio's model predicts Bray Wanderers to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-2.

Will both teams score in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more