Finn Harpsvs
Bray Wanderers
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 10/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bray Wanderers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Finn Harps 2-0 Bray Wanderers
Original prediction
Bray Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.90 | 15.3% | 20.4% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.7% | 23.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.1% | 56.3% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Bray Wanderers
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Bray Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40