World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Finland W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (12%), 5-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Finland W 3-1 Serbia W
Original prediction
Finland W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 56.9% | 55.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 23.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 17.9% | 20.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–012%
- 3.5–09%
Predicted outcome
Finland W
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Finland W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80