GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/8/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Figueirense are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Paysandu are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Paysandu hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FigueirenseD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
PaysanduWLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 3/3
FigueirensePaysandu
36.8Attack52.1
68.4Defence54.2
40.4Form54.2
50.2Power55.5
1.06xG0.92
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