Figueirensevs
Maranhão
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Figueirense 0-0 Maranhão, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Figueirense 2-1 Maranhão
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.6% | 33.9% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 33.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.7% | 32.6% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Projected Score
Figueirense 0–0 Maranhão
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
33.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FigueirenseDWDWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MaranhãoWWWDW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FigueirenseMaranhão
31.5Attack33.3
61.1Defence70.4
46.3Form50.0
49.2Power53.2
0.59xG0.72